what's you point?  

do you have any commentary or analysis of this?

JohnHarrietChristianMcCain is letting us all know what kind of diary we need.

parody trolls are so april-may.

Good, this is what I was hoping for.

Obama's support will be waning.

Maybe, just maybe, enough delegates will ask -- do we really want a guy who appears to have no consistent policies?

in this poll that a generic Democrat would defeat a generic Republican by twenty points?  The generic advantage from Rasmussen is twelve points.

I agree that Obama is ahead by 5-6 points on average, which is pretty much the margin that Clinton defeated Bush by in 1992; that's he's only getting around 75-80% support from dems suggests that McCain is only getting around 85% from Republicans or Obama has quite an advantage among independents.

Well at least McCain voting has gone down.  I don't have a problem with people choosing to do all kinds of things, including not voting, but actually voting FOR McCain is going too far.

Exactamundo!!

(yer on a roll!)

;)

The number of Hillary voters going to McCain has gone DOWN by 7 points. Only 10% of Hillary voters cross over to McCain. That amounts to about 5% of all Democrats. 11% of Democrats in 2004 voted for Bush.

Those who say they aren't voting at all can be persuaded to vote in the end. In fact, they almost certainly will be.

Obama will win with a coalition never seen before, which will leave out in the cold extremeist on the fringes of both Parties. This is a highly desireable outcome, imho, and speaks to the genius of Obama's new politics.

I'm not a big fan of wackiness after almost 8 years of insanity. I don't care which side of the spectrum the wacky comes from - I just don't want any at all.

at this point back in '92. Polls don't mean much right now, but if you want to put faith in them, remember that Obama is doing better than Bill was.

Sen. Obama has been giving indications that he will not pick Sen Clinton as running mate; hence the ``disunity''. Yes, who Sen Obama will pick as the VP nominee (and probably more importantly when) ma turn out to be a crucial factor in determining the outcome of the election.

This poll, for the most part, simply reenforces others now out which suggests that Obama is getting the support of approx. 85% of Dems.  Here's the math: 42% of 43% = 18% (and I'm suspicious of the the second tier of figures, btw, because the poll is approx. 200 voters, and that's a piddly sample if you're talking about a national poll, which the pollster recognizes, btw, by acknowledging that the MoE is over 7%).

In real terms, we're probably talking about 15% of Dems (approx. 1/3rd of those who supported Clinton).  Also have some problems w/ cause and effect, btw, because it's routine for major-party candidates to lose approx. 10% to crossovers, it's a pretty safe bet that no one who supported Obama in the primaries will fall into this group, and so we're left w/ this obvious caveat: Dem defectors, of course, will be those who voted for the other candidate in the primaries (if Clinton had gotten the nom we'd have the same phenomenon).

Since Obama ended the primary with as many as 2/3rds of Clinton's supporters saying they might vote for McCain, stay home, or didn't know, this represents obvious progress in one month.  My prediction, btw, is that Obama will get approx. 85% of Dems, but the other 15% are irreconcilables (though the great news from this poll, clearly, is that only 1 in 4 would vote for McCain).

If Clinton had gotten the nom, btw, polls showed her getting 85% as well (but the irreconcilables, in that hypothetical, were a different group of voters, and we'll never know how that would have played out).

Lastly, McCain has his own party unity problems which haven't gotten nearly the same attention (he's going to lose 8-15% of the GOP rank and file to crossovers and people staying home, and Obama right now is doing well among indies (and there are more of them than Dems who voted for Clinton, period).

Hope all the Dems turn out for the Democratic ticket this fall, but taking a Doris Day "que sera sera" attitude about it (though it has reduced my enjoyment of this website, think a large % of posters here, basically, are like Boston Red Sox fans who saw the Yankees win the pennant).

What I see is movement from

Clinton supporters who say they would vote for McCain
TO
Clinton supporters who say they won't vote

The next step will be--
Clinton supporters who will vote for Obama

These manipulative personality polls reveal nothing. If you want to know who's really ahead count the electoral votes.

Obama leads in some national polls by 10%. He leads substatially in the vital swing states. And he's competetive in some red states that haven't been for decades.

Thanks for the "concern," but peddle it someplace else --  like McBush's website.